VALUATION THEORY
Chepakovich Valuation Model Valuation Basics Valuation of Banks Intrinsic Value
Intrinsic Value
Introduction Cash Flows Risk-Free Rate Assesment of Risk
Determination of alternative investment opportunities
Once we have estimated future cash flows, we need to use an appropriate discount rate (or rates) to find out their present values. That's how rational investment decisions are made: by comparing present values of different alternatives.
There are two factors that determine the discount rate: 1) risk-free rate and 2) risk associated with a particular investment. This section of the text deals with the former, the next one – with the latter.
Contrary to what you might have read in other financial articles and books, we do not view yield of government bonds of the investor's home country issued in local currency as the risk-free rate. I.e. in most cases it is, but generally it is not. And this is not just because governments sometimes fail to honor their own obligations (there were a few examples of governments defaulting on their local-currency-denominated paper), but because of availability of other investment opportunities, which, taking into account their probability of default, might present a very different implied risk-free rate (or rates).
We argue that the lowest of such implied risk-free rates and the yield on a corresponding government bond should be used as the risk-free rate in determination of the discount rate.
It follows from the above argument that the risk-free rate can be different for different investors, as not all investors have the same investment alternatives.